History is clear that nothing happens in a vacuum. Every
crisis and challenge was set in motion by preceding actions and outcomes. The
Hebrew Prophet Habakkuk spells that out in unsettling clarity. The remaking of
Europe after World War I and the Great Depression set in motion a
disequilibrium that precipitated World War II. In that fear-filled chaos,
people around the world clamored for strong leaders to guide them into
stability. This brought together Franklin Roosevelt, Winston Churchill, Charles
De Gaulle, and Joseph Stalin as well as Adolph Hitler, Benito Mussolini, Showa Hirohito,
Francisco Franco, and Haile Selassie. Understanding this era requires
remembering that Stalin was an ally of Roosevelt, Churchill and De Gaulle
before the Cold War shuffled the deck.
The “great recession” of 2007-09 disrupted the global
economy with deep uncertainties for the future. The rise of Islamist terrorism,
especially with the form it has taken with the Islamic State displacing huge
numbers of refugees into Europe and around the world has upset perceived international
stability and the cherished identities of nations. The chaos that has so
quickly ensued since the Brexit vote for Great Britain to withdraw from the
European Union is disrupting international relationships in unpredictable ways.
British leadership is floundering rather than leading.
As much as the west derides Vladimir Putin as a totalitarian
autocrat, he is popular in Russia as the one who offers stability and the
promise of restored Russian glory. The whole U.S. Presidential election process
we are in (from the large number of primary candidates to the identity of the
presumptive nominees) suggests the people of the United States are also longing
for a strong leader to guide them through the chaos to stability and greatness.
I certainly would not suggest that the current world climate
is the same as the time between the World Wars, nor would I make casual
comparisons between any of the candidates and dictators from history, I do
suspect that we are in a time of uncertainty in which people are hungry for
strong leaders they believe they can trust to protect them against what they
see as an increasingly hostile and dangerous world. Without a doubt leadership
counts and is essential.
In the World War II era some of those strong leaders brought
much good to the people of their own countries and the world, while others of
them were evil perpetrators of unimaginable suffering. The shifting perception
of Stalin from World War II to the Cold War is a cautionary tale that reminds
us that danger lurks in even the most seemingly benign of human endeavors. When
we humans make our decisions based on fear, we almost always make the wrong
choice and pay a painful price in the long run. I’m not suggesting we reject
all strong leaders. Nor am I suggesting pure goodness is even possible. But I
do believe affirmative motives are more likely to help us choose the most
constructive leaders in times of uncertain crisis.
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